Your holiday forecast is shaping up quite nicely. We are talking about above average temperatures and plenty of afternoon sunshine. Temperatures will start to fall Christmas Eve into the 30s, so waking up Christmas Day will be on the chilly side; however, we will quickly warm up in the afternoon.
On Wednesday, our pattern changes from zonal to a more amplified flow coming out of the southwest. This will open the gates to more moisture content available and eventually setting up a wet and active pattern late week.
Thursday/Friday light to heavy showers will be likely and there is a chance for a few severe storms. The greatest chance to see any severe storms will likely occur early Friday morning, but parameters still look on the marginal side at the moment.
This frontal system that will bring more showers and thunderstorms will start to stall out as it moves through the region. So for next weekend, keeping showers in the forecast for our southern counties on Saturday and as the stalled out boundary propagates northward Sunday overcast conditions will persist with some light showers possible.