Where are we with the tropics?

COLUMBUS, Ga. - With already a little over a month gone in the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane season there have been three named storms and one came before the season officially started on June 1.

Subtropical Storm Alberto formed five days before the season began off the coast of Cozumel, Mexico and quickly moved northward in the Gulf of Mexico. Alberto made landfall on May 28 along the Florida panhandle and as it moved inland, the storm dropped 1" to 4.5" of rainfall across parts of Alabama.

The two most recent storms formed within the past week.

Beryl formed just after Independence Day in the Atlantic Ocean and reached hurricane status on July 6. However, Beryl encountered a tremendous amount of wind shear as it propagated towards the Lesser Antilles and eventually was ripped apart and weakened back to a tropical wave shortly after it crossed into the Caribbean.

Chris is currently on-going and sitting and just meandering off the Coast of the Carolinas producing a rip current risk across the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Chris was upgraded to a hurricane Tuesday, July 10.

The hurricane season spans six months from June to November. We have a long way to go until the end of the year, but tropical frequency starts to increase into August with the peak season occurring on September 11.

According to data from NOAA, they are predicting 10-16 named storms, 5-9 hurricanes with 1-4 becoming major hurricanes. Season probability is expected to be near-normal with 40 percent. Above normal there is a 35 percent and 25 percent below normal.

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